Abstract: English Abstract: Background: Chinese government has taken strong measures in response to the epidemic of new coronavirus (2019-nCoV) from Jan.23, 2020. The number of confirmed infected individuals are still increasing rapidly. Estimating the accurate infected population and the future trend of epidemic spreading under control measures is significant and urgent. However, the common forecasting models, such as SI, SIS, SIR, SIRS and SEIR, are only suit for scenarios without non-pharmaceutical prevention interventions. And the estimating infected...
(read more)