Abstract:
In Scenarios For The Danube's Mouth - Black Sea Region section (part of Deliverable 19) future evolutions under each of the four scenarios developed for the Danube Delta region are described qualitatively making use of each of the variables used in the Combined Model (aquaculture, agriculture and tourism). In the excel files all quantitative data corresponding with these qualitative descriptions can be accessed easily. For the first scenario we used data in order facilitate the transition from the curren (...)
In Scenarios For The Danube's Mouth - Black Sea Region section (part of Deliverable 19) future evolutions under each of the four scenarios developed for the Danube Delta region are described qualitatively making use of each of the variables used in the Combined Model (aquaculture, agriculture and tourism). In the excel files all quantitative data corresponding with these qualitative descriptions can be accessed easily. For the first scenario we used data in order facilitate the transition from the current situation to a "greener" vision for all the main economic activities in Danube's Delta: agriculture, tourism and aquaculture. The second scenario is similar with the current situation regarding the Multi Actor Lab 05 study case area. Regarding Scenario 3, the attention of the policymakers regarding the environmental policy is focused on local issues around the middle- and high-income areas and less for Danube's Delta environment. In the Scenario 4, the trend of industrial production of conventional agricultural products is constantly growing and the labour force in the agriculture, aquaculture and tourism sectors are developed. The model offers results for a 30 years period, starting with 2020 and ending with 2050.
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