Authors: Tommaso Stella, Heidi Webber, Jørgen E. Olesen, Alex C. Ruane, Stefan Fronzek, Simone Bregaglio, Sravya Mamidanna, Marco Bindi, Brian Collins, Babacar Faye, Roberto Ferrise, Nándor Fodor, C. Gabaldón-Leal, Mohamed Jabloun, Kurt Christian Kersebaum, Jon I. Lizaso, Ignacio J. Lorite, Loic Manceau, Pierre Martre, Claas Nendel, Alfredo Rodríguez, Margarita Ruiz-Ramos, Mikhail A. Semenov, Pierre Stratonovitch, Frank Ewert
Venue: Environmental Research Letters
Type: Publication
Abstract: International audience; While the understanding of average impacts of climate change on crop yields is improving, few assessments have quantified expected impacts on yield distributions and the risk of yield failures. Here we present the relative distribution as a method to assess how the risk of yield failure due to heat and drought stress (measured in terms of return period between yields falling 15% below previous five year Olympic average yield) responds to changes of the underlying yield distributions under climate change. Relative distrib...
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Topics: 
Climatology
Atmospheric sciences
Agronomy
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